Serbia
Based on the most recent published official birth records (and Birthgap harmonisation where noted).
Serbia’s most recent data from 2023 reveals a small decline in childlessness, with lifetime childlessness rate falling to 25.7%, maintaining the country's position with Europe’s lowest rate. Meanwhile, completed fertility saw a slight increase to 74.3%, while total fertility grew weaker, dropping to 22.7%. Children per mother nudged up to 2.15, continuing a trend of slow growth since the 2000s, and the average maternal age edged slightly higher to 28.95 years, the youngest in Europe.
- Completed fertility increased by 1.3 percentage points from 2022, aligning closely with Serbia’s long-run average around 74%.
- Total fertility rate declined by 3 percentage points, reflecting a recent dip despite past five-year averages showing a more moderate level of childlessness.
- Children per mother rose marginally from 2.11 to 2.15, indicating a gradual rise over the past two decades.
- Average maternal age remains the lowest in Europe at just under 29 years, rising steadily by about 0.06 years since last year.
In 2023, Serbia exhibited some of Europe's lowest fertility rates alongside the youngest maternal age, indicating unique demographic challenges in the region.
- Lowest total fertility rate in Europe and globally
- Children per mother slightly above global average
- Youngest mean age at childbearing in Europe
- Lowest lifetime childlessness rate in Europe
- Societal half-life is shortest in Europe
Key fertility indicators — Serbia
| Childlessness Rate (TCR) | 25.7% |
| Children per Mother (CPM) | 2.15 |
| TGI (great-grandchildren per 100 parents) | 46 |
| Total births (latest year) | 60,896 |
Motherhood prevalence (TMR)
Completed fertility among mothers in Serbia reached 74.3% in 2023, marking a slight increase of 1.3 percentage points from 2022. The total motherhood rate (TMR) has remained fairly steady over the past five years (2019–2023), averaging 71.5%. This recent level is close to the longer-term average seen in the 2000s, which was 74.2%. When looking at global figures, Serbia holds the lowest TMR, ranking 38th out of 38 countries. Similarly, within Europe, it also has the lowest TMR, positioned last out of 31 nations.
| Year | TMR | Year | TMR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1970 | n/a | 2010 | 70.6% |
| 1980 | n/a | 2020 | 69.2% |
| 1990 | n/a | 2022 | 73.0% |
| 2000 | 76.7% | 2023 | 74.3% |
Source: Eurostat.
Children per mother (CPM)
Serbia recorded 2.15 children per mother (CPM) in 2023, showing a slight increase of 0.05 from the previous year. The CPM has been trending upward over the past five years, averaging 2.13 during this period. Compared to the 2000s average of 1.99, the current CPM is approximately 0.16 higher, highlighting a gradual rise in fertility over the decades.
| Year | CPM | Year | CPM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1970 | n/a | 2010 | 1.97 |
| 1980 | n/a | 2020 | 2.12 |
| 1990 | n/a | 2022 | 2.11 |
| 2000 | 1.92 | 2023 | 2.15 |
Source: Eurostat.
Average maternal age (AMA)
The average maternal age in Serbia reached 28.9 years in 2023, showing little change from 28.9 in 2022. Looking at the last five years, the average maternal age has steadily increased, averaging 28.8 years during this period. This figure also marks an increase of 3.2 years compared to the 2000s average of 25.8 years. Serbia currently holds the position of having the lowest average maternal age both globally, ranked 38 out of 38, and within Europe, where it ranks 31 out of 31 countries.
| Year | BIRTH | Year | BIRTH |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1970 | n/a | 2010 | 27.22 |
| 1980 | n/a | 2020 | 28.80 |
| 1990 | n/a | 2022 | 28.89 |
| 2000 | 24.14 | 2023 | 28.95 |
Source: Eurostat.
Birthgap Generational Indicator (TFG)
In 2023, the TFG for Serbia stands at 22.7% (which corresponds to a TFR of 1.60), marking a decrease of 3.0 percentage points from 2022. Over the last five years, there has been a decline in childlessness, with the 2019–2023 average falling to 26.5%. Compared to the 2000s average of 28.7%, this represents a drop of approximately 6.0 percentage points. On a global scale, Serbia records the lowest TFG value, ranking 38th out of 38 countries.
Within Europe, it also occupies the lowest position, ranking 31st out of 31.
| Year | TFG | Year | TFG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1970 | n/a | 2010 | 32.9% |
| 1980 | n/a | 2020 | 29.3% |
| 1990 | n/a | 2022 | 25.7% |
| 2000 | 28.8% | 2023 | 22.7% |
Source: Eurostat.
Societal Half-Life (SHL)
Serbia’s SHL stands at 83.5 years years in 2023. It has increased by 11.3 years compared with 2022. Over the past five years, SHL has been rising, averaging 69.9 years. Compared with the 2000s average (58.0 years), SHL is now longer by about 25.5 years.
Globally, Serbia has the shortest Societal Half-Life (ranked 38/38).Within Europe, Serbia has the shortest SHL value (ranked 31/31).
Triple Generation Impact (TGI)
With this Birthgap (TFG) for every 100 people of fertility age in Serbia, there would be 46 great-grandchildren, representing a -54.0% drop from the current generation.
Globally, Serbia has the lowest TGI drop (ranked 38/38). Within Europe, Serbia has the lowest TGI drop (ranked 31/31).
Birth trajectory
If the 2023 birth trends continue, the number of births is projected to decrease from 60,896 in that year to 30,448 by 2107, representing a 50% decline. This downward trajectory intensifies further, with births expected to fall by 90% to just 6,090 by 2300, assuming no migration effects.
Childlessness rate (TCR)
In 2023, Serbia's lifetime childlessness rate (TCR) stands at 25.7%, showing a slight decrease of 1.3 percentage points from 2022. The average rate over the last five years (2019–2023) remains fairly steady at 28.5%. This current figure closely aligns with the long-term average of the 2000s, which was 25.8%. On a global scale, Serbia holds the lowest childlessness rate, ranking 38th out of 38 countries.
Within Europe, it also has the lowest rate, positioned 31st among 31 countries.
| Year | TCR | Year | TCR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1970 | n/a | 2010 | 29.4% |
| 1980 | n/a | 2020 | 30.8% |
| 1990 | n/a | 2022 | 27.0% |
| 2000 | 23.3% | 2023 | 25.7% |
Source: Eurostat.
Total births
Serbia's total births in 2023 reached 60,896, marking a decrease of 1,659 from the previous year. The trend over the last five years shows a decline, with an average of 62,238 births annually. When compared to the 2000s average of 73,299, the number of births has dropped by 12,403, representing a 16.9% reduction.
| Year | Births | Year | Births |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1970 | n/a | 2010 | 68.0k |
| 1980 | n/a | 2020 | 61.5k |
| 1990 | n/a | 2022 | 62.6k |
| 2000 | 73.2k | 2023 | 60.9k |
Source: Eurostat.
Birthgap Retirement Indicator (BRI)
The Birthgap Retirement Indicator (BRI) for Serbia reached 33.3% in 2023, showing only a slight increase from 32.9% in 2022. Over the past five years (2019–2023), the BRI has experienced an upward trend, averaging 32.4%. When compared to the 2000s average of 37.7%, the current value is approximately 4.4 percentage points lower. Among all countries globally, Serbia holds the lowest BRI score, ranking 35th out of 35, and similarly, it is ranked last across Europe at 30 out of 30.
| Year | BRI | Year | BRI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1970 | n/a | 2010 | 33.6% |
| 1980 | n/a | 2020 | 33.5% |
| 1990 | n/a | 2022 | 32.9% |
| 2000 | 37.7% | 2023 | 33.3% |
Source: Eurostat.